2% mortgage rates: Real or marketing gimmick? | Mortgage Rates, Mortgage News and Strategy : The Mortgage Reports (2024)

Mortgage rates under 2.5% are real — for some

United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM) made headlines recently for offering 2.5% mortgage and refinance rates. Now, it’s lowered the bar even further with a 2.25% VA loan rate.

And other lenders are following suit. At the time of writing this, at least one lender in our network was offering 30-year refinance rates as low as 2.49% (2.644% APR).*

But how realistic are those rates? Is 2.5% the exception, or is it a real rate available to regular borrowers?

As always, it depends on what you qualify for.

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*Rate estimate assumes a 720 credit score and 73% LTV ratio

Whether or not you qualify for 2.25%, rates are ridiculously low

The truth is, the lowest advertised rates almost always go to top-tier borrowers; those with excellent credit scores and 20% down payments.

So a 2.25% mortgage rate will be out of reach for many. But the good news is, rates are still incredibly low across the board.

No matter how strong your application, lenders are offering better rates now than they were a year, six months, or even one month ago.

Just how low is low? Freddie Mac has been reporting average weekly mortgage rates since the 1970s. Consider where we’ve been.

2% mortgage rates: Real or marketing gimmick? | Mortgage Rates, Mortgage News and Strategy : The Mortgage Reports (1)

The rates we’re seeing today are part of a long trend. A very long trend.

Since the early 1980s mortgage rates have generally trended down. 30-year rates have marched from 16.63% in 1981, to just 3.13% in June 2020.

Time PeriodAverage 30-Year RateTime PeriodAverage 30-Year Rate
198116.63%Jan. 20203.62%
199010.13%Feb. 20203.47%
20008.05%Mar. 20203.45%
20086.03%Apr. 20203.31%
20123.66%May 20203.23%
20193.94%June 25, 20203.13%

Data: Freddie Mac

Many wouldn’t have thought it possible 20 years ago — or even one year ago — but rates in the low-3% range are now being widely quoted. And rates in the 2s are a reality for some.

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Advertised mortgage rates vs. the rate you get

You’ve probably heard the ads for $1 million term-life insurance for $26 a month. These policies do exist — but not if you’re a smoker or 65 years old.

In a similar sense, there are a lot of alluring mortgage offers out there. Rates that are so low they look like typos. But is such financing really available?

The answer is yes for some borrowers but no for others. To see who qualifies and who doesn’t, you have to look at the entire offer.

The truth about 2.25% VA loan rates

Consider the advertised 2.25% VA mortgage rate from UWM as an example. (Though this line of reasoning applies to non-VA loans, too.)

All real estate financing comes with conditions and requirements of some type.

In the case of the 2.25% VA mortgage offer, UWM provides an example that assumes a “30-year Fixed-Rate VA Loan at an interest rate of 2.25% and 80% loan-to-value (LTV).”

As you read the example and related materials, there are some questions to ask.

  • Are you VA qualified?
  • What’s your credit score? (A minimum of 640 is required)
  • Are you buying a home or refinancing?
  • If you’re buying, are you willing to put 20% down?
  • If you’re refinancing, will you keep at least 20% equity in the home?
  • What’s the rate for VA financing with nothing down?

VA financing is available with 0% down for buyers, and current homeowners can refinance 100% of the property’s reasonable value using the VA streamline (IRRRL).

But those taking advantage of zero-down or low-down-payment options likely won’t get the lowest possible rates.

There’s always a compromise between how strong your application is, and how low a rate lenders will offer you.

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The best mortgage rate — it’s complicated

Mortgage lenders are in business to make money. The last thing they want is to decline loans, turn away borrowers, or make the application process any more difficult than necessary.

So why do borrowers have to meet such high standards to get the best mortgage rates?

The thing is, there’s a lot going on behind the scenes when a mortgage lender determines your rate.

Investors and the secondary mortgage market

Mortgages are routinely sold into the secondary market to such buyers as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and investors worldwide.

The secondary market is an electronic “place” where mortgages are bought and sold. By selling mortgages, lenders get the cash they can use to make new loans.

But such investors have their standards.

Investors in the secondary market want to buy standardized products. They may require a loan to have a certain down payment, debt-to-income ratio, and credit score.

Why? Because they want to be sure they’re making a safe investment. These types of criteria help lenders and investors verify that borrowers will be able to pay back their mortgages.

Loan program requirements

There are also different requirements to qualify for a mortgage — and a low rate — depending on what type of loan you apply for.

You can buy with little or nothing down with backing from the FHA, VA, USDA, and private mortgage insurance. These programs protect lenders if borrowers don’t make their payments.

But they also have certain requirements borrowers must meet to qualify for program support. If a home buyer can’t meet program standards then the loan application will not go through.

Mortgage company requirements

Regardless of other requirements, lenders may have additional standards — so-called “layering” — that borrowers must meet. These standards arise because lenders want to reduce risk.

For instance, the official guidelines say you can get FHA financing with a credit score of just 500 and 10% down. But those loans can be hard to find in reality. In fiscal year 2019, HUD reports that just 1.04% of all forward FHA loans had credit scores below 579. That’s because many lenders simply don’t want loans with lower credit scores.

Similarly, lenders get to decide what rates they’ll offer to borrowers. And those rates change daily.

You might be offered a higher or lower rate from one lender depending on its current workload, what types of loans it prefers to take on, how available investor money is at the moment, and so on.

How to find your lowest rate

Despite the complicated factors that influence your mortgage rate, you don’t have to be a finance expert to find the best deal. You just have to be willing to do a little work.

You’ll get the best mortgage rate when you find the lender and loan program that best fit your needs.

Shop around and speak with a few lenders before committing to a mortgage. That way you can be sure you’re getting the lowest rate available to you.

Time to make a move? Let us find the right mortgage for you
2% mortgage rates: Real or marketing gimmick? | Mortgage Rates, Mortgage News and Strategy : The Mortgage Reports (2024)

FAQs

Is a 2% mortgage rate possible? ›

30-year rates have marched from 16.63% in 1981, to just 3.13% in June 2020. Many wouldn't have thought it possible 20 years ago — or even one year ago — but rates in the low-3% range are now being widely quoted. And rates in the 2s are a reality for some.

Are advertised mortgage rates accurate? ›

Numerous factors can influence how different your actual mortgage rate will be from what you're expecting. Because a borrower's actual rate can be so personalized, it's hard to really know what you'll end up with until a lender sees all your information.

Are mortgage rates going down in 2024? ›

Expert predictions for mortgage rates in 2024

In Fannie Mae's latest rate forecast, the government-sponsored enterprise said it expects 30-year fixed rates to end 2024 at 6.4%. This is less optimistic than its February forecast when Fannie Mae expected rates to dip to 5.9% by the end of the year.

What is the lowest 30-year mortgage rate ever recorded? ›

2021: The lowest 30-year mortgage rates ever

And it kept falling to a new record low of just 2.65% in January 2021. The average mortgage rate for that year was 2.96%.

What is the 2 2 2 rule for mortgage? ›

One Spouse's Income Doesn't Meet Requirements

Many lenders use the 2/2/2 rule to evaluate loan eligibility, which typically requires: 2 years of W-2s. 2 years of tax returns. 2 months of bank statements.

Will we ever see 3 percent interest rates again? ›

In summary, it is unlikely that mortgage rates in the US will ever reach 3% again, at least not in the foreseeable future. This is due to a combination of factors, including: Higher Inflation: Inflation is currently at a 40-year high in the US, and the Federal Reserve is raising interest rates to combat it.

Does the president have any control over interest rates? ›

Though presidents can't control interest rates directly, they can discuss their stance on current monetary policy and its impact on rates.

Why is my mortgage rate higher than advertised? ›

If your loan-to-value ratio is greater than 80%, it's considered high, and it puts the lender at greater risk. This may result in a higher mortgage rate, especially when combined with a lower credit score. The loan will usually require mortgage insurance, too.

Do mortgage interest rates really matter? ›

That's because a lower mortgage interest rate directly translates into smaller mortgage payments (and greater savings) each month. In simple terms, a mortgage is a type of home loan offered to those who wish to borrow a set amount of funds for the purchase of a piece of real estate property.

Will 2024 be a better time to buy a house? ›

Yes. This is the best time to buy a house in California. With the current trend in the CA housing market, you'll find better deals on your dream home during Q2 2024. As per Fannie Mae, mortgage rates may drop more in Q2 of 2024 due to economic changes, inflation, and central bank policy adjustments.

How high will mortgage rates go in 2024? ›

That means the mortgage rates will likely be in the 6% to 7% range for most of the year.” Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). MBA's baseline forecast is for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage to end 2024 at 6.1% and reach 5.5% at the end of 2025 as Treasury rates decline and the spread narrows.

What will mortgage rates be by end of 2024? ›

Mortgage giant Fannie Mae likewise raised its outlook, now expecting 30-year mortgage rates to be at 6.4 percent by the end of 2024, compared to an earlier forecast of 5.8 percent.

What was the highest mortgage rate ever recorded? ›

From 1971 to present, the highest average mortgage rate ever recorded was 18.63% in October 1981. Mortgage rates held steady above 18% in the two-month span between Sept. 10 and Nov. 12, 1981.

What is the highest mortgage interest rate ever recorded? ›

Interest rates reached their highest point in modern history in October 1981 when they peaked at 18.63%, according to the Freddie Mac data. Fixed mortgage rates declined from there, but they finished the decade at around 10%.

What's the lowest mortgage interest rate ever? ›

What were the lowest mortgage rates in history? The lowest recorded rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was 2.65% in January 2021,This was likely due to the effects of COVID-19.

What is the lowest mortgage rate ever recorded? ›

The average 30-year fixed rate reached an all-time record low of 2.65% in January 2021 before surging to 7.79% in October 2023, according to Freddie Mac.

Why would you have 2 mortgages? ›

Not only can equity increase your net worth, but you can borrow money against the equity you've built in your home. If you want to tap into your home equity but don't want to sell your house, a second mortgage might be able to help.

What is the maximum 2nd mortgage? ›

Most first mortgage cash-out refinance programs allow you to borrow up to 80% of your home's value. Second mortgage loans are available for up to 100% of the value of your home, although most are capped at 85%.

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