How Tax Cuts Affect the Economy (2024)

Advocates of tax cuts argue that reducing taxes improves the economy by boosting spending. Those who oppose cuts say they only help the rich and reduce the government services on which lower-income individuals rely. Regardless of opinion, tax cuts reduce government revenues and lead to budget deficits or growth in government debt. Below, find out the ways in which tax cuts affect the overall economy.

Key Takeaways

  • Tax cuts reduce government revenues and create either a budget deficit or increasedsovereign debt.
  • The federal tax system relies on several taxes to generate revenue, including income tax and payroll tax.
  • Proponents of tax cuts argue that cuts increase an individual or family's disposable income, spur spending, and help grow the economy.
  • Critics of tax cuts claim that cuts only benefit the wealthy and reduce necessary government services for the lower-income bracket.

Understanding the Tax System

The federal tax system relies on several taxes to generate revenue. By far the largest source of funds is income tax. In 2022, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) collected a net $2.9 trillion in individual, estate, and trust income taxes, or 59.2% of the total.

Personal income taxes are levied against wages, interest, dividends, and capital gains, and ordinary income rates are marginal based on income.

The employment taxes that fund Social Security benefits and Medicare are the next largest source of national revenue. The IRS collected a net $1.4 trillion in employment taxes in 2022 or 28.9% of the total. Theemploymenttax is a fixed percentage levied on salaries and wages and is paid equally by both employer and employee.

The corporate tax contributed 9.7% ($475.9 billion) to national coffers, and the excise taxlevied against items such as gasoline and tobacco contributed 1.4% ($70.7 billion).

2022 Tax Revenue by SourceAmount% of Total
Business Income Taxes$475.9 billion9.7
Individual and Estate and Trust Income Taxes$2.9 trillion59.2
Employment Taxes$1.4 trillion28.9
Estate and Gift Taxes$33.4 billion0.7
Excise Taxes$70.7 billion1.4
Total Collected$4.9 trillion100

Source: IRS

A Shifting Tax Burden

The federal government uses tax policy to generate revenue and generally aims to burden those taxpayers who will be the least affected, often the wealthy; however, the "flypaper theory" of taxation, which assumes the burdens of the tax stick to where the government places the tax, often proves to be incorrect and tax shifting occurs.

Tax shifting is an economic phenomenon in which the taxpayer transfers the tax burden to the purchaser or supplier by increasing the sales price or depressing the purchase price during the process of commodity exchange.

Additionally, shifting tax burdens have been evident through tax cuts for the wealthy that may not “have any significant effect on economic growth and unemployment,” and “lead to higher income inequality” according to a 2022 study of 18 member countries of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), including the United States.

Since the 1980s, policies in countries like the United States have often been based on arguments that higher taxes on the wealthy have a negative influence on economic growth.

Tax Cuts and the Economy

Reducing marginal tax rates to spur economic growth is a commonly used policy with the notion that lower tax rates will give people more after-tax income that could be used to buy more goods and services.

This is a demand-side argument to support a tax reduction as an expansionary measure. Further, reduced tax rates may boost savings and investment, leading to further production and reduced unemployment.

Lowering taxes raises disposable income, allowing the consumer to spend more, which increases the gross domestic product (GDP).

Consumer spending typically constitutes two-thirds of GDP and was 68% of GDP as of Q2 2023.

Supply-side tax cuts are aimed to stimulate capital formation. If successful, the cuts will shift both aggregate demand and aggregate supply because the price level for a supply of goods will be reduced, which often leads to an increase in demand for those goods.

The National Bureau of Economic Research studies the persistent effects of temporary changes in U.S. federal corporate and personal income tax rates. According to their recent 2022 working paper, a corporate income tax cut leads to a sustained increase in GDP and productivity. In contrast, personal income tax cuts trigger a short-lived boost to GDP, productivity, and hours worked but have no long-term effects.

What Is Tax Equity?

Two distinct concepts of taxation are horizontal equity and vertical equity. Horizontal equity is the idea that all individuals should be taxed equally. Vertical equity is the ability-to-pay principle, where those who are most able to pay are assessed higher taxes.

What Is the Progressive Nature of Taxation?

Tax cuts affect individuals differently because of the progressive nature of the tax. Reducing taxes on a family with a small adjusted gross income (AGI) will save them less in total dollar amounts than a slightly smaller tax cut on a family with a much higher salary. Across-the-board cuts will benefit high earners more in a dollar sense simply because of their higher earnings.

What Does the GNP Measure and How Do Tax Cuts Increase It?

Gross national product (GNP) is the total value of all finished goods and services produced by citizens and the output generated by businesses. Tax cuts increase available funding to individuals and businesses and may increase production and investment.

The Bottom Line

Tax cuts reduce government revenues and create either a budget deficit or increasedsovereign debt. Critics often argue that tax cuts benefit the rich at the expense of those with fewer resources, as services beneficial to those in a lower income bracket are cut. Proponents claim that cuts put money in consumers' pockets, resulting in spending increases, which grow the economy.

Article Sources

Investopedia requires writers to use primary sources to support their work. These include white papers, government data, original reporting, and interviews with industry experts. We also reference original research from other reputable publishers where appropriate. You can learn more about the standards we follow in producing accurate, unbiased content in oureditorial policy.

  1. Internal Revenue Service. "2022 Data Book," Page 3.

  2. Internal Revenue Service. "IRS Provides Tax Inflation Adjustments for Tax Year 2023."

  3. Internal Revenue Service. "Topic No. 751 Social Security and Medicare Withholding Rates."

  4. Hope, David, and Julian Limberg. "The Economic Consequences of Major Tax Cuts for the Rich." Socio-Economic Review, vol 20, no 2, Spring 2022.

  5. World Economic Forum. "Trickle-Down Tax Cuts Don't Work Study Says."

  6. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. "Personal Consumption Expenditures/Gross Domestic Product."

  7. National Bureau of Economic Research. "Short Term Tax Cuts, Long Term Stimulus."

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How Tax Cuts Affect the Economy (2024)

FAQs

How Tax Cuts Affect the Economy? ›

Reductions in income tax rates affect the behavior of individuals and businesses through both income and substitution effects. The positive effects of tax rate cuts on the size of the economy arise because lower tax rates raise the after-tax reward to working, saving, and investing.

How tax cuts affect the economy? ›

Supply-side tax cuts are aimed to stimulate capital formation. If successful, the cuts will shift both aggregate demand and aggregate supply because the price level for a supply of goods will be reduced, which often leads to an increase in demand for those goods.

How does the tax system affect the economy? ›

How do taxes affect the economy in the long run? Primarily through the supply side. High marginal tax rates can discourage work, saving, investment, and innovation, while specific tax preferences can affect the allocation of economic resources. But tax cuts can also slow long-run economic growth by increasing deficits.

How would lowering taxes also hurt citizens? ›

In the decade after the Great Recession took hold in 2008, for example, 18 states cut their personal and/or corporate income tax rates; these policies led to sharp increases in public college tuition, cuts in school funding, and a weakening of income supports like unemployment insurance, which both harmed people and ...

What are tax cuts simple? ›

• Tax cuts are changes to the tax code that reduce the amount of tax you have to pay. • A common way of cutting taxes is to reduce the income tax rate—the percentage of taxable income that an individual or business pays in taxes.

Does cutting taxes lead to economic growth? ›

Combining empirical methods, Karel Mertens and Morten Ravn found that a one percent cut in the personal income tax rate boosts real GDP per capita by up to 1.8 percent. That translates to a multiplier similar to those described above of about 2.5.

How do taxes affect society? ›

Changes in the tax codes influence the decisions people make about whether and how much to work, how much to save for retirement, and where to live. Taxation also affects how entrepreneurs organize their businesses, how much to borrow and invest, and where they locate the businesses they create.

What are the pros and cons of tax cuts? ›

Personal income tax cuts can help support growth and, if well targeted, can also help improve income distribution. However, we find that lowering personal income tax rates does not raise growth enough to offset the revenue loss that is caused by the tax cut itself.

What if everyone stopped paying taxes? ›

The most significant consequence would be a massive inflation. The government requires money to carry on its business and if it wasn't collecting dollars via taxes, it would have to create them by borrowing or by printing them.

What are 5 reasons we pay taxes? ›

Why do people have to pay taxes and what are they used for?
  • Social Security.
  • Health care like Medicare and Medicaid.
  • National defense.
  • Economic security programs.
  • Transportation and emergency services.
  • Veterans benefits.
  • Public infrastructure like bridges and roads.
Jan 5, 2023

Why tax cuts are good? ›

Economic Impact:

Tax cut advocates claim an across-the-board tax cut would produce beneficial economic effects by boosting personal saving and labor supply.

How can raising and lowering taxes affect the economy? ›

They also largely indicate that tax increases can generate increased revenue for government but often at the expense of economic growth and mobility for taxpayers. Conversely, tax cuts tend to produce short-lived revenue decreases while promoting long-term economic growth.

Does taxing the rich help the economy? ›

Taxing the Rich Could Raise Trillions — But That Alone Won't Fix Our Fiscal Crisis. Because of the structural mismatch between federal spending and revenues, the budget deficit from fiscal year 2023 was $1.7 trillion, or 6.3 percent of gross domestic product (GDP).

How does tax affect inflation? ›

Raising taxes on the wealthiest Americans pushes inflation in the right direction, but it has a relatively small effect. This is because the wealthiest Americans have a lower marginal propensity to consume their income: when taxes go up on billionaires, they reduce their consumption, but not by that much.

Who gets the most tax breaks? ›

Lower Income Households Receive More Benefits as a Share of Total Income. Overall, higher-income households enjoy greater benefits, in dollar terms, from the major income and payroll tax expenditures.

What are the tax changes for 2024? ›

For single taxpayers and married individuals filing separately, the standard deduction rises to $14,600 for 2024, an increase of $750 from 2023; and for heads of households, the standard deduction will be $21,900 for tax year 2024, an increase of $1,100 from the amount for tax year 2023.

How does cutting taxes affect inflation? ›

Given that tax cuts increase demand, any difficulty the firm has in increasing production will lead to an increase in prices instead.

What are effects of lowering taxes and increasing government spending? ›

If the government uses expansionary policy and reduces tax rates and increases its spending on goods and services, it will likely result in extra income and spending in the economy. Expansionary fiscal policy is controversial, however, because it is likely to increase the level of government debt.

What happens if there is a decrease in taxes but no change in government spending? ›

Answer and Explanation: A decrease in taxes and no change in government spending would cause a budget deficit to occur which causes the demand of loanable funds to rise.

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