Should I lock mortgage rate today?
“Mortgage interest [rates] can change every day and sometimes even multiple times a day, so we always recommend that borrowers lock in their rate.” It's up to you to seek the rate lock. If you choose not to do so, and you have no rate lock, this is known as “floating” a rate.
“Mortgage interest [rates] can change every day and sometimes even multiple times a day, so we always recommend that borrowers lock in their rate.” It's up to you to seek the rate lock. If you choose not to do so, and you have no rate lock, this is known as “floating” a rate.
If interest rates go up after you've locked in your rate, you get to keep the lower rate. On the other hand, if you lock your rate and interest rates fall, you can't take advantage of the lower rate unless your rate lock includes a float-down option.
Locking in now could mean you're stuck with a high home loan interest rate for years to come, and your mortgage repayment will increase monthly. Important: If you do decide to fix your loan, it should only be for two years maximum since home loan rates are expected to go down in 2024 and 2025.
Inflation and Fed hikes have pushed mortgage rates up to a 20-year high. 30-year mortgage rates are currently expected to fall to somewhere between 5.9% and 6.1% in 2024. Instead of waiting for rates to drop, homebuyers should consider buying now and refinancing later to avoid increased competition next year.
After hitting record-low territory in 2020 and 2021, mortgage rates climbed to a 23-year high in 2023. Many experts and industry authorities believe they will follow a downward trajectory into 2024.
Mortgage interest rates can change daily, sometimes hourly. If your interest rate is locked, your rate won't change between when you get the rate lock and closing, as long as you close within the specified time frame and there are no changes to your application.
Most major forecasts expect rates to go down throughout 2024.
- Better, 3.89%
- Bank of America, 4.20%
- Citibank, 4.23%
- Amerisave, 4.33%
- DHI Mortgage Company, 4.34%
- PNC Bank, 4.35%
- Home Point Financial, 4.35%
- Navy Federal Credit Union*, 4.38%
A “good” mortgage rate is different for everyone. In today's market, a good mortgage interest rate can fall in the mid-6% range, depending on several factors, such as the type of mortgage, loan term, and individual financial circ*mstances.
Should I go fixed or variable in 2023?
If you think interest rates will rise again, you're better off fixing your rate now to lock it in at the lower rate. If you think they'll fall, you may want to stay variable. It's worth noting that fixed rate loans tend to rise during periods of low interest rates.
The National Association of Realtors expects mortgage rates will average 6.8% in the first quarter of 2024, dropping to 6.6% in the second quarter, according to its latest Quarterly U.S. Economic Forecast. The trade association predicts that rates will continue to fall to 6.1% by the end of the year.
Studies have found that over time, the borrower is likely to pay less interest overall with a variable rate loan versus a fixed-rate loan. However, historical trends aren't necessarily indicative of future performance. The borrower must also consider the amortization period of a loan.
Sure, mortgage rates could fall to 3% at some point, but chances are that's not going to happen anytime soon. Moreover, waiting for rates to drop before you buy your home could backfire. Instead, consider buying your house now and refinancing your mortgage when rates improve.
Many forecasters expect rates to remain well under 7 percent this year. McBride expects them to drop all the way to 5.75 percent by the end of 2024. “Inflation has been coming down — and coming down faster than expected in recent months — which bodes well for mortgage rates,” says McBride.
Projected Interest Rates in the Next Five Years
ING's interest rate predictions indicate 2024 rates starting at 4%, with subsequent cuts to 3.75% in the second quarter. Then, 3.5% in the third, and 3.25% in the final quarter of 2024. In 2025, ING predicts a further decline to 3%.
Furthermore, mortgage rates have dipped slightly in recent weeks, with the average 30-year fixed rate falling from 7.21% to 6.88% as of December 2023. This trend aligns with predictions from industry experts, who anticipate a gradual decline in rates throughout 2024, potentially reaching the 6-6.5% range by spring.
This would allow mortgage interest rates to fall to a predicted 5.5% by the end of 2023, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Some economists believe that rates could end in the high 5% by the end of 2023, according to experts from Fannie Mae.
30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.79 percent as of October 26, 2023, up from last week when it averaged 7.63 percent.
You can back out of a mortgage rate lock, but there are consequences. Backing out of a rate lock means giving up the application you've put time and money into. You'll have to start your mortgage application over from the start, and you'll likely have to re-pay fees like the credit check and home appraisal.
How long should I lock in my mortgage?
Make sure that you're comfortable with the cost and how your APR may be affected. Also, ask how long a lock will last. Rate locks often last 15 – 60 days, but the exact time frame can vary based on the lender. You should choose a time frame that's long enough to move your loan through the underwriting process.
A mortgage rate lock isn't free. Even when there's no official fee listed on your closing costs breakdown, the lender will factor it into the rate you're receiving. Typically, you can expect to pay somewhere between 0.25% and 0.50% of your loan to lock in your rate.
Goldman said it expects 30-year mortgage rates will drop to 6.3% by the end of 2024, and fall slightly in 2025 to 6% as the Fed starts to cut interest rates. Previously, Goldman had expected the 30-year mortgage rate to be at 7.1% by the end of 2024 and at 6.6% by the end of 2025.
The current Fed rate is 5.25% to 5.50%. That's according to the Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC), the monetary policymaking part of the Federal Reserve that holds eight scheduled meetings a year to set the federal funds rate.
Product | Interest rate | APR |
---|---|---|
30-year fixed-rate | 6.799% | 6.873% |
20-year fixed-rate | 6.683% | 6.788% |
15-year fixed-rate | 6.012% | 6.139% |
10-year fixed-rate | 6.016% | 6.231% |
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